Federal forecasters agree with everyone else: Expect the Atlantic tropics to...
The Atlantic hurricane season may not begin until June 1, but what I like to call hurricane season prediction season is nearing its end. Traditionally that comes when NOAA’s seasonal forecasters issue...
View ArticleCould Hurricane Barbara reform in the Gulf of Mexico?
Hurricane Barbara — a Pacific storm — is close to making landfall near Salina Cruz, Mexico this afternoon. The eastern Pacific hurricane season typically begins earlier than the Atlantic season, so...
View ArticleFrom Africa with love: The important role the world’s second largest...
One normally does not associate the very hot and arid Saharan desert with tropical storms and hurricanes that slam into the United States. But it turns out there are two important connections between...
View ArticleTropical Storm Dorian: What you need to know about this cyclone
Tropical Storm Dorian continues to move west across the deep Atlantic tropics today. The big question everyone wants to know is: Will this storm threaten the Caribbean islands, Bahamas or possibly the...
View ArticleFederal hurricane forecasters are so good they’re now predicting storm...
Beginning tomorrow the National Hurricane Center will begin predicting tropical storm formation five days in advance. This is a similar idea to the current two-day outlook, only it assigns probability...
View ArticleForecasters slightly lower hurricane season expectations
In their August update to the 2013 seasonal hurricane forecast, Colorado State University scientists Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray are still calling for an active season — but not quite so active. The...
View ArticleUh-oh: Is the hurricane season forecast a bust?
As you may recall, back in June, nearly every seasonal hurricane forecaster under the sun predicted a busy season. NOAA even predicted a possibly “hyper-active” season. Since we’re now approaching the...
View ArticleWeekly Weather: Dud of a hurricane season may be about to finally get rolling
Good morning and welcome to my weekly weather report on the immediate past, present and future of weather in the Bayou City. PAST A tropical storm formed Sunday night just off the coast of Mexico,...
View ArticleHurricane Humberto, season’s first, finally forms
Humberto became a hurricane this morning, just barely avoiding becoming the latest first hurricane ever to form in the Atlantic. It was a matter of hours. Fortunately the storm is deep in the Atlantic...
View ArticleYOLO prediction: The Texas hurricane season is over
It’s that time of year again. Officially the Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t end until Nov. 30. But here in Texas we have something I call the SciGuy Date, which is today. Since the 1850s, after...
View ArticleHere’s why seasonal hurricane forecasters are predicting a relatively calm...
As we edge closer toward June 1 seasonal hurricane forecasters have begun to release their outlooks for the coming year. These early forecasts suggest the 2014 Atlantic season will be less active than...
View ArticleAnd so it begins: The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season
The Atlantic hurricane season begins today. Although the first month of the season is typically fairly quiet, we do get storms popping up from time to time. And there’s the possibility of this...
View ArticleFrom Africa, with love: The tropics are coming alive
As we get deeper into August it appears the tropics are finally waking up. The National Hurricane Center has raised the likelihood of an area of low pressure north of South America in the Atlantic...
View ArticleAtlantic disturbance most likely to track away from the United States
A tropical disturbance approaching the Caribbean Sea, Invest 96L, continues to slowly organize despite marginally favorable conditions. The system remains likely to become a tropical depression by this...
View ArticleTwo amazing graphics show why this Atlantic hurricane season is likely to...
Seasonal forecasters have consistently predicted that the 2015 Atlantic season will be quiet, and looking at new model data it’s not hard to see why. The best forecast model in the world, operated by...
View ArticleTropical or subtropical storm may develop next week
Because of a favorable upper atmospheric pattern there’s the chance of a subtropical or even tropical storm could form next week off the coast of the southeastern United States. It’s probably less than...
View ArticleTropical depression likely to form in the Atlantic today
The long slumbering Atlantic tropics have finally woken up. A system in the deep tropics is close to becoming a tropical depression or storm, and likely will do so later today, say forecasters with the...
View ArticleTropical Storm Danny in the Atlantic, moves west toward Caribbean
9:52 p.m. UPDATE: Tropical Storm Danny is strengthening as it heads west with 50 mph winds. 3:30 p.m. UPDATE: With 40 mph winds, the Atlantic depression has developed into Tropical Storm Danny....
View ArticleTropical Storm Danny moving west, less likely to reach Gulf
Here’s the latest on Tropical Storm Danny. Overnight the system has changed little in intensity, and has 50-mph winds. It is a large storm and in satellite photos its center of circulation is not...
View ArticleNew storm brewing in the Atlantic, Danny extends the U.S. major hurricane...
Here’s what’s going on in the Atlantic tropics. DANNY Danny blew up into a hurricane last week, reaching maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, before eating a face full of dust and wind shear. It has...
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